Custom Portfolio Study
$5 Million Hypothetical
Portfolio
October 2005 -
September 2008
$500K $1 Mil $5 Mil $10 Mil $25 Mil
$50 Mil
Individual Manager Portfolios
(Click on the letters below to look at their portfolios.)
A B C D E F
Performance numbers were calculated by
back testing "net return data" provided by the managers. The data does not
include or reflect a provision for "slippage" and the returns may be unaudited.
The construction of each of these portfolios was accomplished without
"notional" funding. An investor, fully funding the account minimums, would be
able to duplicate any of the hypothetical portfolio's illustrated on this site.
It should also be added that none of the portfolio studies provided for
"rebalancing".
| Annual Returns |
| |
|
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
Drawdown |
Inception |
% Profitable |
| $5MM Model Portfolio |
25.40% |
18.90% |
11.84% |
-5.36% |
20.87% |
86.11% |
| S&P 500 TR |
15.79% |
5.49% |
(19.29)% |
-23.20% |
0.22% |
63.89% |
| Barclay CTA Index |
3.54% |
7.64% |
7.80% |
-4.14% |
7.11% |
61.11% |
| Benchmark Analysis |
| |
Alpha |
Beta |
R |
R-square |
Tracking |
Info. Ratio |
| S&P 500 TR |
|
21.02% |
0.26 |
0.35 |
0.12 |
12.84% |
1.61 |
| Barclay CTA Index |
1.06% |
0.95 |
0.70 |
0.48 |
7.16% |
1.92 |
| Description |
|
Return |
Std. Dev |
Sharpe |
Down Dev. |
Sortino RF |
Drawdown |
| $5MM Model Portfolio |
20.87% |
8.57% |
1.81 |
4.48% |
3.39 |
-5.36% |
| S&P 500 TR |
0.22% |
11.39% |
-0.27 |
9.55% |
-0.39 |
-23.20% |
| Barclay CTA Index |
7.11% |
6.30% |
0.50 |
3.63% |
0.82 |
-4.14% |
Cumulative
Returns

Statistical Analysis
The asset allocation
is comprised of managers whose minimum account size would enable investors to
meet the minimum investment requirements without utilizing notional funds. The
data for the asset allocation encompasses the last 36 months of returns.
$5 Million Manager Allocation

(Click for individual manager portfolio)
The chart below
measures the performance of the hypothetical portfolio versus "Indices" representing various asset classes for the most recent 36 months of performance
data.
Annualized
Returns - Portfolio vs Benchmarks

The chart below
compares the risk and return of the sample portfolio against selected
benchmarks representing traditional and non-traditional asset classes.
Risk / Return
Analysis

The chart below
illustrates the distributions of monthly returns of the hypothetical portfolio
for the most recent 36 months of performance data.
Distribution of Monthly
Returns

The drawdown analysis
chart measures the maximum drawdown experienced by the fund for the past 36
months of performance history. Generally speaking "Drawdown Analysis" is used
as a guide to determine the amount of risk or volatility the fund has
experienced.
Drawdown
Analysis: October 2005 - September 2008

Standard deviation
measures the variation of returns around the mean of investment returns. The
higher the volatility of returns, the higher standard deviation will be.
Generally speaking standard deviation is used as a "risk" or "volatility" measurement.
Risk (Volatility)
Analysis

Proposed Custom Hypothetical
Portfolio
$5 Million Hypothetical Portfolio Proforma
October 2005 - September 2008
| |
Beginning |
Additions |
Profit |
Ending |
Period |
Cumulative |
|
| Date |
Equity |
Withdrawals |
Loss |
Equity |
Return |
Return |
Vami |
| Oct-2005 |
$5,000,000.00 |
0.00 |
$50,700 |
$5,050,700 |
1.01% |
1.01% |
1,010.14 |
| Nov-2005 |
$5,050,700.00 |
0.00 |
$138,252 |
$5,188,952 |
2.74% |
3.78% |
1,037.79 |
| Dec-2005 |
$5,188,952.00 |
0.00 |
$105,956 |
$5,294,909 |
2.04% |
5.90% |
1,058.98 |
| Jan-2006 |
$5,294,909.00 |
0.00 |
$183,751 |
$5,478,660 |
3.47% |
9.57% |
1,095.73 |
| Feb-2006 |
$5,478,660.00 |
0.00 |
$29,725 |
$5,508,385 |
0.54% |
10.17% |
1,101.68 |
| Mar-2006 |
$5,508,385.00 |
0.00 |
$187,591 |
$5,695,976 |
3.41% |
13.92% |
1,139.20 |
| Apr-2006 |
$5,695,976.00 |
0.00 |
$157,720 |
$5,853,696 |
2.77% |
17.07% |
1,170.74 |
| May-2006 |
$5,853,696.00 |
0.00 |
-$10,952 |
$5,842,744 |
-0.19% |
16.85% |
1,168.55 |
| Jun-2006 |
$5,842,744.00 |
0.00 |
$104,793 |
$5,947,537 |
1.79% |
18.95% |
1,189.51 |
| Jul-2006 |
$5,947,537.00 |
0.00 |
$1,508 |
$5,949,045 |
0.03% |
18.98% |
1,189.81 |
| Aug-2006 |
$5,949,045.00 |
0.00 |
$120,240 |
$6,069,285 |
2.02% |
21.39% |
1,213.86 |
| Sep-2006 |
$6,069,285.00 |
0.00 |
$29,672 |
$6,098,957 |
0.49% |
21.98% |
1,219.79 |
| Oct-2006 |
$6,098,957.00 |
0.00 |
$153,917 |
$6,252,874 |
2.52% |
25.06% |
1,250.57 |
| Nov-2006 |
$6,252,874.00 |
0.00 |
$271,158 |
$6,524,032 |
4.34% |
30.48% |
1,304.81 |
| Dec-2006 |
$6,524,032.00 |
0.00 |
$115,778 |
$6,639,810 |
1.77% |
32.80% |
1,327.96 |
| Jan-2007 |
$6,639,810.00 |
0.00 |
$158,504 |
$6,798,314 |
2.39% |
35.97% |
1,359.66 |
| Feb-2007 |
$6,798,314.00 |
0.00 |
-$146,956 |
$6,651,358 |
-2.16% |
33.03% |
1,330.27 |
| Mar-2007 |
$6,651,358.00 |
0.00 |
-$76,031 |
$6,575,327 |
-1.14% |
31.51% |
1,315.07 |
| Apr-2007 |
$6,575,327.00 |
0.00 |
$72,639 |
$6,647,967 |
1.10% |
32.96% |
1,329.59 |
| May-2007 |
$6,647,967.00 |
0.00 |
$153,825 |
$6,801,792 |
2.31% |
36.04% |
1,360.36 |
| Jun-2007 |
$6,801,792.00 |
0.00 |
$217,498 |
$7,019,289 |
3.20% |
40.39% |
1,403.86 |
| Jul-2007 |
$7,019,289.00 |
0.00 |
-$284,426 |
$6,734,864 |
-4.05% |
34.70% |
1,346.97 |
| Aug-2007 |
$6,734,864.00 |
0.00 |
$54,553 |
$6,789,416 |
0.81% |
35.79% |
1,357.88 |
| Sep-2007 |
$6,789,416.00 |
0.00 |
$460,869 |
$7,250,285 |
6.79% |
45.01% |
1,450.06 |
| Oct-2007 |
$7,250,285.00 |
0.00 |
$267,944 |
$7,518,229 |
3.70% |
50.36% |
1,503.65 |
| Nov-2007 |
$7,518,229.00 |
0.00 |
$125,278 |
$7,643,507 |
1.67% |
52.87% |
1,528.70 |
| Dec-2007 |
$7,643,507.00 |
0.00 |
$251,315 |
$7,894,822 |
3.29% |
57.90% |
1,578.96 |
| Jan-2008 |
$7,894,822.00 |
0.00 |
$23,042 |
$7,917,865 |
0.29% |
58.36% |
1,583.57 |
| Feb-2008 |
$7,917,865.00 |
0.00 |
$612,780 |
$8,530,644 |
7.74% |
70.61% |
1,706.13 |
| Mar-2008 |
$8,530,644.00 |
0.00 |
$75,929 |
$8,606,573 |
0.89% |
72.13% |
1,721.31 |
| Apr-2008 |
$8,606,573.00 |
0.00 |
$69,523 |
$8,676,096 |
0.81% |
73.52% |
1,735.22 |
| May-2008 |
$8,676,096.00 |
0.00 |
$231,134 |
$8,907,230 |
2.66% |
78.14% |
1,781.45 |
| Jun-2008 |
$8,907,230.00 |
0.00 |
$296,614 |
$9,203,844 |
3.33% |
84.08% |
1,840.77 |
| Jul-2008 |
$9,203,844.00 |
0.00 |
$15,545 |
$9,219,389 |
0.17% |
84.39% |
1,843.88 |
| Aug-2008 |
$9,219,389.00 |
0.00 |
$110,172 |
$9,329,561 |
1.20% |
86.59% |
1,865.91 |
| Sep-2008 |
$9,329,561.00 |
0.00 |
-$499,935 |
$8,829,626 |
-5.36% |
76.59% |
1,765.93 |
Important Notes
Although the rates of return are based on
the results of the individual manager's actual investments, the performance
should be considered "model" performance because no client experienced returns
described herein for the entire time period covered in the performance records.
The results contained herein were accomplished with the benefit of back testing
data. Model performance is generated with the benefit of hindsight. In
addition, market and economic conditions, as well as individual client
preferences and needs, may significantly impact Catranis's management of or
advice to its individual advisory clients. Therefore, there may be sharp
differences between the model performance shown and the actual performance
results achieved by any particular client.
Performance numbers were calculated by
back testing "net return data" provided by the managers. The data does not
include or reflect a provision for "slippage" and the returns may be unaudited.
The construction of each of these portfolios was accomplished without "notional" funding. An investor, fully funding the account minimums,
would be able to duplicate any of the hypothetical portfolio's illustrated on
this site. It should also be added that none of the portfolio studies provided
for "rebalancing".
The
foregoing may contain "forward-looking statements" which are based on
management's beliefs as well as on a number of assumptions concerning future
events made by and information currently available to management. Readers are
cautioned not to put undue reliance on such forward-looking statements, which
are not a guarantee of performance and are subject to a number of uncertainties
and other factors, many of which are outside Catranis & Co's. control, that
could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements.
THIS
COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD IS HYPOTHETICAL AND THESE TRADING ADVISORS HAVE
NOT TRADED TOGETHER IN THE MANNER SHOWN IN THE COMPOSITE. HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED
BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY MULTI-ADVISOR MANAGED ACCOUNT
OR POOL WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE A COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD SIMILAR TO
THAT SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN A
HYPOTHETICAL COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD AND THE ACTUAL RECORD SUBSEQUENTLY
ACHIEVED.
ONE
OF THE LIMITATIONS OF A HYPOTHETICAL COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD IS THAT
DECISIONS RELATING TO THE SELECTION OF TRADING ADVISORS AND THE ALLOCATION OF
ASSETS AMONG THOSE TRADING ADVISORS WERE MADE WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT
BASED UPON THE HISTORICAL RATES OF RETURN OF THE SELECTED TRADING ADVISORS.
THEREFORE, COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORDS INVARIABLY SHOW POSITIVE RATES OF
RETURN. ANOTHER INHERENT LIMITATION ON THESE RESULTS IS THAT THE ALLOCATION
DECISIONS REFLECTED IN THE PERFORMANCE RECORD WERE NOT MADE UNDER ACTUAL MARKET
CONDITIONS AND, THEREFORE, CANNOT COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF
FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FURTHERMORE, THE COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD
MAY BE DISTORTED BECAUSE THE ALLOCATION OF ASSETS CHANGES FROM TIME TO TIME AND
THESE ADJUSTMENTS ARE NOT REFLECTED IN THE COMPOSITE.
(THE
MEMBER) HAS HAD LITTLE OR NO EXPERIENCE ALLOCATING ASSETS AMONG PARTICULAR
TRADING ADVISORS. BECAUSE THERE ARE NO ACTUAL ALLOCATIONS TO COMPARE TO THE
PERFORMANCE RESULTS FROM THE HYPOTHETICAL ALLOCATION, CUSTOMERS SHOULD BE
PARTICULARLY WARY OF PLACING UNDUE RELIANCE ON THESE RESULTS.
The risk of loss in trading commodities
can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such
trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.
The
high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in commodity trading can work
against you as well as for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as
well as gains.
In
some cases, managed commodity accounts are subject to substantial charges for
management and advisory fees. It may be necessary for those accounts that are
subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion
or exhaustion of their assets. The disclosure document of a commodity trading
advisor ("CTA") contains a complete description of the principal risk factors
and each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.
The
regulations of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ("CFTC") require that
prospective clients of a CTA receive a disclosure document when they are
solicited to enter into an agreement whereby the CTA will direct or guide the
client's commodity interest trading and that certain risk factors be
highlighted. This document can be obtained directly from the CTA. This brief
statement cannot disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of the
commodity markets. Therefore, you should proceed directly to the disclosure
document and study it carefully to determine whether such trading is
appropriate for you in light of your financial condition. The CFTC has not
passed upon the merits of participating in the trading program of any CTA nor
on the adequacy or accuracy of a CTA's disclosure document. Other disclosure
statements are required to be provided to you before a commodity account may be
opened for you.
All
information contained in this report is based upon information obtained from
specific CTA disclosure documents, fund prospectuses, or the CTAs themselves.
While the information is believed to be reliable, because of the complexities
involved with the data and the fact that it has not been verified, we cannot
guarantee its completeness or accuracy.
Composite performance tables are used to illustrate the overall success or failure of a CTA in trading the futures markets. These composite results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by a CTA in the future. It is important to understand that composite returns reflect aggregate performances from all accounts traded and do not reflect the different rates of returns achieved by individual accounts. When available, CTA analysis will always be compiled using performance tables that are inclusive of notional equity. Notional equity refers to the amount of funds that are pledged to a trading account by an investor but are not actually deposited. In addition, certain trading programs will have historical performances based upon extracted trades. Performance tables including notional equity or extracted trading are considered by the CFTC to be hypothetical. Although all trades used in the compilation of the performance tables have actually been executed, certain hypothetical assumptions need to be made in order to estimate interest earned, fees paid, or the amount of leverage used for these kinds of accounts.
The
NFA requires the following disclosure statement in reference to hypothetical
results:
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY
INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS
BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES
SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED
BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF
HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK
AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF
FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES
OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE
MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE
ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE
IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED
FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN
ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
Estimations of CTA margins used, are
provided by the respective trading advisors. Although these estimates are
believed to be reliable, the CTA may at his or her sole discretion place trades
requiring margin far in excess of the estimates listed in this report. It is
the customer's responsibility to maintain sufficient capital in his/her trading
account(s) to meet initial margin requirements.
These
reports do not constitute a solicitation to invest in any program included
herein. Prior to making an investment in a trading program, one should
carefully study the appropriate disclosure document required by the CFTC. These
reports are designed to provide readers with accurate and objective information
in regard to managed futures investments. They are offered with the
understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, financial,
brokerage, or other professional advice. If legal or other expert assistance is
required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
You
should carefully consider whether your financial condition permits you to
participate in futures trading. In so doing, you should be aware that futures
and options trading can quickly lead to large losses as well as gains. Such
trading losses can sharply reduce the value of your investment.
All
information provided on these pages is for fair use. Normal copyright
protections apply to all commercial use of any documents or information.
Catranis & Company are not responsible for any loss due to inaccuracies in
the information provided. Nothing presented here should be construed as
investment advice or recommendations. Although adding Managed Futures
investments to a portfolio may provide diversification, Managed Futures
investments are not a hedging mechanism; there is no guarantee that Managed
Futures investments will appreciate during periods of inflation or stock and
bond market declines.
FUTURES AND COMMODITIES TRADING INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERY INVESTOR. INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS STRICTLY THE OPINION OF ITS AUTHOR AND IS INTENDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES. INFORMATION IS OBTAINED FROM SOURCES BELIEVED RELIABLE, BUT IS IN NO WAY GUARANTEED. OPINIONS, MARKET DATA AND RECOMMENDATIONS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE AT ANY TIME. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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